The Moving to Opportunity (MTO) experiment
offered randomly selected families living in high-poverty housing projects
housing vouchers to move to lower-poverty neighborhoods. This studypresents new evidence on the impacts of MTO on children's long-term outcomes using
administrative data from tax returns.
Thhe study finds that moving to a lower-poverty
neighborhood significantly improves college attendance rates and earnings for
children who were young (below age 13) when their families moved. These
children also live in better neighborhoods themselves as adults and are less
likely to become single parents. The
treatment effects are substantial: children
whose families take up an experimental voucher to move to a lower-poverty area
when they are less than 13 years old have an annual income that is $3,477 (31%)
higher on average relative to a mean of $11,270 in the control group in their
mid-twenties.
In contrast, the same moves have, if anything,
negative long-term impacts on children who are more than 13 years old when their
families move, perhaps because of disruption effects. The gains from
moving fall with the age when children move, consistent with recent evidence
that the duration of exposure to a better environment during childhood is a key
determinant of an individual's long-term outcomes.
The findings imply that offering families with
young children living in high-poverty housing projects vouchers to move to
lower-poverty neighborhoods may reduce the intergenerational persistence of
poverty and ultimately generate positive returns for taxpayers.
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